Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy, and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell.
They tell us that the government can spend and spend without taxing at all, that it can continue to pile up debt without ever paying it off, because "we owe it to ourselves". Such pleasant dreams in the past have always been shattered by national insolvency or a runaway inflation. All government expenditures must eventually be paid out of the proceeds of taxation and inflation itself is merely a form, and a particularly vicious form, of taxation.
You need to buy insurance before the calamity hits. Bitcoin is the perfect anti-fiat. Bitcoin is equivalent to default insurance on a basket of fiat credit. You need to own bitcoin as a hedge to the regular calamities of the fiat system.
I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you make all your money by playing the trend in the middle. Well for twelve years I have been missing the meat in the middle but I have made a lot of money at tops and bottoms.
The longer the boom of inflationary bank credit continues, the greater the scope of malinvestments in capital goods, and the greater the need for liquidation of these unsound investments. When the credit expansion stops, reverses, or even significantly slows down, the malinvestments are revealed.
I believe that anyone who is intelligent, conscientious, and willing to put in the necessary time can be successful on Wall Street. As long as they realize the market is a business like any other business, they have a good chance to prosper.